FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
5º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 4
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
BAD
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 1
SCH
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
THU
6 - 3
FCV
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THU
3 - 0
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 5
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
SIO
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |