FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
YVE
1 - 1
WIL
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
STG
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CON
3 - 4
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
WIN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 0
LAC
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
LOC
4 - 1
THU
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
THU
2 - 2
BIE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
YVE
5 - 1
THU
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
FCG
4 - 3
THU
24%
24%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |