FC Wil vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
6º
19
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
BEL
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
BUL
2 - 0
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |