FC Wil vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
5º
5º
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
WIL
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 0
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRI
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 3
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
4 - 2
BIE
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 2
BUL
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |