FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 1
WIL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 0
WIN
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BIE
1 - 2
WIL
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 0
LEM
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
LOC
3 - 2
LUG
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 2
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BIE
2 - 1
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 1
STA
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |