FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 4
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 1
YVE
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 4
LAU
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
SIO
38%
25%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SIO
0 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |