FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
10º
10º
5
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 40 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 25 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 25 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 5
WIL
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
OLT
0 - 5
FCA
4%
9%
87%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | 0 |