FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCV
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
WIL
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 3
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRI
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 3
STA
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 3
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
KRI
4 - 1
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |