FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LAU
2 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
FCV
1 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 1
KRI
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
WIL
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
KRI
2 - 2
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |