FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
GCZ
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
DEL
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |