FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 0
NEX
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
DEL
1 - 0
WIL
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
WIN
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
WIL
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
KRI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |