FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 4
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 1
YVE
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 4
LAU
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
YOB
4 - 1
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |