FC Wil vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 4
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
ETO
2 - 1
YVE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 3
YOB
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |