UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
FC Wil vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GCZ
4 - 2
WIL
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEX
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SER
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
FKR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
RKB
0 - 1
DIN
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 0
DIN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
AUD
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |