FC Wil vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
5º
26
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 1
SCH
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 5
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
6 - 0
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 0
BAD
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 3
SIO
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |