FC Wil vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
5º
26
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
SIO
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
BAD
62%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAD
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
STA
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |