Wil II vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UST
1 - 0
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
UZW
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
3 - 2
WIL
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SIR
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 3
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
WID
1 - 0
KRE
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WID
5 - 0
UST
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UZW
5 - 2
WID
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WID
1 - 0
GOS
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 1
WID
38%
21%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |