Wil II vs Tägerwilen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
26
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
WIL
59%
19%
21%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
CHU
52%
20%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
WIL
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCA
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WID
0 - 0
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
5 - 3
DSG
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 2
TAG
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 0
FCT
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DUB
9 - 2
TAG
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
0 - 3
UST
23%
21%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |