Wil II vs Sirnach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WID
0 - 2
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
KOS
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GOS
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
FRA
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 1
WIL
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHU
3 - 3
SIR
28%
22%
49%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 3
SIR
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SIR
3 - 1
UST
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KRE
5 - 0
SIR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
SIR
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |