Wil II vs Weesen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
12%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
21
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UST
2 - 4
WIL
31%
22%
48%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DSG
1 - 1
WIL
26%
20%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 3
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 2
DUB
83%
10%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 4
DSG
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 1
FCW
37%
21%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
FCT
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
3 - 2
FCW
25%
20%
54%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
TAG
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |