Wil II vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
40
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUB
2 - 6
WIL
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
TAG
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
WIL
59%
19%
21%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
CHU
52%
20%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
WIL
49%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
DUB
69%
16%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 2
DSG
67%
17%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UST
1 - 3
FCT
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 0
FCT
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -2 |