Wil II vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UST
1 - 1
WIL
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 2
SIR
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WID
0 - 2
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
KOS
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GOS
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 0
LIN
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CHU
3 - 0
ARB
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 1
ARB
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
UST
32%
23%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 3
SIR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -2 |