Wigan Athletic vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 1
WIG
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 0
CRA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
WIG
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIG
0 - 1
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
HUR
3 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |