Wigan Athletic vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
WIG
1 - 0
IPS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
GIL
2 - 1
WIG
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
COV
1 - 2
WIG
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
WIG
3 - 0
LEE
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 3
WIG
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
LEE
31%
27%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BHA
1 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIL
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 1
STO
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GIL
0 - 0
MIL
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |