Wigan Athletic vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2019 |
BBU
0 - 0
WIG
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 1
HUR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 1
WBA
13%
25%
63%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LUT
2 - 1
WIG
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 3
REA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
REA
3 - 0
DER
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
DER
0 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BBU
1 - 0
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
QPR
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |