EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Wigan Athletic vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
5 - 2
WYC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
WIG
2 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
GUL
0 - 3
WIG
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
BHA
1 - 0
WIG
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 0
CHE
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 1
STO
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 2
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |