EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Wigan Athletic vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 1
LEE
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 0
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WIG
0 - 3
BBU
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
WHU
0 - 2
WIG
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WIG
4 - 3
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |