FA Cup 1/32
Global 5-2
Wigan Athletic vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WIG
0 - 0
POS
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 2
WIG
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
WIG
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
WIG
0 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
WIG
0 - 0
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 1
ARS
25%
22%
53%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 2
WIG
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
BHA
2 - 2
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 1
EVE
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 3
WHU
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |