Wienerberg vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wienerberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
OST
1 - 3
WIE
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIE
1 - 1
SVH
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FCW
1 - 1
WIE
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
WIE
1 - 0
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
NEU
5 - 0
WIE
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
WIE
5 - 1
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 0
GAF
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
0 - 4
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
4 - 0
BAU
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 0
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |