Wienerberger vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
16º
11º
39
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wienerberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SKS
1 - 0
WIE
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIE
0 - 3
DON
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POS
2 - 2
WIE
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WIE
1 - 1
STA
20%
21%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 2
ASV
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 1
SCH
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 1
AUS
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 0
SVH
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
AUS
28%
22%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
WAF
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |