Wienerberger vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wienerberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
OST
3 - 0
WIE
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
WIE
3 - 1
LAC
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 1
WIE
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
WIE
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
FAV
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUS
49%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AUS
0 - 1
DON
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 0
GER
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |