Wiener Neustadt vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
WIN
5 - 0
WIE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
WIE
1 - 4
RAP
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
SWW
2 - 1
WIE
65%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
2 - 0
KAP
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
AWM
4 - 1
WIE
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
STR
2 - 2
AUK
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
WIN
2 - 1
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
STR
2 - 2
WIE
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
RAP
2 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
STR
0 - 2
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |