Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
11º
10º
20
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POG
2 - 0
WLO
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WLO
0 - 0
SLA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
WLO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 1
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
WLO
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 1
RAD
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
1 - 2
RAD
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |