Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Widzew Łódź vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
WLO
0 - 0
LPO
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
POG
0 - 2
WLO
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
WLO
2 - 0
ZAG
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
LKS
0 - 1
WLO
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
WLO
1 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
AGF
1 - 4
CEL
21%
22%
57%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 0
AGF
87%
8%
5%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BYM
3 - 1
AGF
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 2
BYM
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
STA
0 - 1
AGF
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |