Widnau vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WID
3 - 3
FCO
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHU
3 - 0
WID
69%
16%
14%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WID
3 - 2
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
WID
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WID
2 - 1
FCP
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
FCS
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CHU
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 4
FRE
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |