Widnau vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
WID
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WID
0 - 4
SEU
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 3
WID
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
WID
40%
23%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
WID
2 - 2
CHU
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
MEL
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
KRE
3 - 4
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
SVS
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 0
FRE
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 3
SEU
69%
17%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |