FA Cup 1/256
Global 5-3
Whitby Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHM
2 - 2
WHI
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
3 - 2
WHI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 0
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
4 - 2
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNM
1 - 1
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHM
2 - 2
WHI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WES
0 - 3
CHM
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CHM
3 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 2
CHM
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 2
STA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |