Whanganui Athletic vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
10º
10º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
3 - 4
WEL
4%
9%
87%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WAF
2 - 3
PET
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 5
WEL
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WAF
3 - 1
HNW
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
WOO
0 - 4
WAF
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
NWA
92%
5%
2%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
35%
21%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 1
PET
57%
19%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
5 - 1
NWA
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |