Whanganui Athletic vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
88.6%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.2%
0-5
6.9%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9.7%
0-6
4%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.3%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
10º
10º
21
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
WSU
7 - 1
WAF
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 5
NAP
5%
10%
85%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
WAF
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 1
WAF
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 5
NWA
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 4
WKA
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 3
MIR
10%
14%
77%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
STO
94%
5%
2%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
MIR
23%
19%
58%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |