Wexford Youths vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
24
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
WEX
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
BRW
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 0
KEF
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
LON
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
COB
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FIN
3 - 2
LON
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |