Wexford Youths vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+575%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
7º
19
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 79 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 1
WEX
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
UCD
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
KEF
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
CAO
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |