Wexford Youths vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
3º
27
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 1
WEX
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
UCD
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
KEF
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
CAO
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |