Wexford Youths vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
3º
55
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COB
2 - 4
WEX
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 2
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
COB
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
FIN
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |