Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weston Bears
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
EDG
1 - 0
WBE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
WBE
1 - 2
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
WBE
1 - 0
MAI
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ADR
1 - 1
WBE
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
LAM
2 - 3
WBE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
BRO
2 - 1
LAK
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LAK
0 - 3
EDG
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
LAK
2 - 1
ADR
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAK
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
MAI
4 - 1
LAK
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |