Weston Bears vs Adamstown Rosebuds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
9º
6º
9
8º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weston Bears
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
3 - 0
NLE
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
1 - 0
VAL
64%
18%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BRO
5 - 0
WBE
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
WBE
1 - 2
LAM
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAI
0 - 1
WBE
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Adamstown Rosebuds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADR
0 - 4
EDG
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CHU
6 - 0
ADR
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NLE
2 - 1
ADR
46%
21%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 1
LAK
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 7
MAI
7%
13%
79%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |