Westfalia Herne vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 2
ROT
17%
24%
60%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 1
WHE
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
5 - 1
WHE
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
WHE
1 - 1
WEG
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
5 - 1
WHE
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SPE
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GEW
2 - 0
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KÖL
4 - 0
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 5
KÖL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |