Westfalia Herne vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
WHE
1 - 3
WAT
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEW
2 - 1
WHE
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WHE
0 - 3
ESS
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
WHE
0 - 3
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
WHE
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 4
MSV
66%
19%
14%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ESS
73%
17%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 0
KÖL
22%
23%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SOI
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |