Westfalia Herne vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
WHE
1 - 2
TEN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
WAT
1 - 1
WHE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
WHE
3 - 0
WAB
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
KFC
3 - 1
WHE
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 1
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
KÖL
4 - 0
TEN
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
OSN
2 - 1
KÖL
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WAT
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
WAB
2 - 2
KÖL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 4
KFC
53%
22%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |