Western United FC vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
12º
12º
15
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
WES
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 3
WUF
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
MCI
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 2
WUF
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 3
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |