Western United FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
WUF
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
WUF
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRI
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |