Western United FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
WUF
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
WUF
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRI
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |