Western United FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 1
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 0
CCM
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
WPH
3 - 2
WUF
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
WUF
35%
28%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 1
MCI
39%
23%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
WUF
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |